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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market56% (20–16, n=36)75% (752–252, n=1004)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL—$822K$77K$227K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #14PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position33% (2 of 6 open)74% (121 of 163 open)69% (60 of 87 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢—0%31% (won 9% of 66)1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—57% (won 100% of 13)27% (won 45% of 56)32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 100% of 9)13% (won 68% of 28)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—4% (won 100% of 1)29% (won 97% of 61)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

24 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894BreakTheBankFlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $19Bucks $3.4K
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $217Bucks $1.7K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $68Under $1.0K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $366Celtics $411
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
——Warriors $120Rockets $83
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $116Over $7.6K
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $3.7KKansas City Roos $2.2K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $608Bucks $5.2K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $218Over $5.0K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $85Over $3.5K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $83Under $2.7K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $93Over $2.6K
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
——Trail Blazers $213Trail Blazers $2.4K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $89Over $2.2K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
——Rockets $1.5KRockets $850
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Bucks $353Bucks $1.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
——Seahawks $542Seahawks $1.5K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
——Vikings $6Vikings $1.8K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $165Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
——Colts $49Colts $1.1K
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $180Cavaliers $756
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Pelicans $260Pelicans $660
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 137.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $54Under $646
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
——Kansas City Roos $335Kansas City Roos $313
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $19Over $420
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $207Under $183
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
——Raptors $226Raptors $19
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $109Over $65
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
——Nets $2Nets $69