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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL—$7.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (22 of 25 open)75% (173 of 230 open)52% (33 of 63 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x941743De228c1339B996ae09cc84BD8179D86e5e-1780214631894BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $4.3KTaylor Fritz $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $3.8KMax Hans Rehberg $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $471No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
——Diletta Cherubini $268Ipek Oz $680
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $348Under $81
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $222Hornets $116
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
——76ers $188Cavaliers $108
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $278Under $5
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado
——Camilo Ugo Carabelli $3Juan Carlos Prado $268
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $31No $12
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $19KNo $22K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.8KNo $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $6.5K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $5.9K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.1KNo $2.5K
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.4KNo $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $947No $814
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $383Over $1.2K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $118Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.1KUnder $158
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $104Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $4No $690
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
——Kings $357Kings $110
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
——Carlo Alberto Caniato $20Carlo Alberto Caniato $297
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $177Under $42
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $165Under $2