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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xNuttawutFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (1357–1304, n=2661)55% (13382–10751, n=24133)63% (1101–635, n=1736)48% (19707–21460, n=41167)
Consensus PnL-$48K$1.4M$4.6M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #574PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position63% (74 of 117 open)71% (67 of 95 open)59% (19 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +4 pts n=338, ROI +2%
  • NHL +9 pts n=64, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +5 pts n=129, ROI +9%
Weakest topicEsports −3 pts, n=945NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won52% of 2359 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 25% of 4)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 47% of 891)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 54% of 1375)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 74% of 89)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xNuttawutFlaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Over $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $872—Over $3.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $446—Under $1.4K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $873—Yes $315
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Orleans: Luca Nardi vs Alexander Ritschard
opposite sides · consensus Luca Nardi
—Alexander Ritschard $103—Luca Nardi $609
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $256—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $13K—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29