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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3745–343, n=4088)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$89K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #11PM monthly #52PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus25% (1 of 4 open)74% (145 of 195 open)no open consensus position49% (19 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +40 pts n=353, ROI −2%
  • MLB +44 pts n=82, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=530, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1032 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 238)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢30% (won 100% of 305)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 411)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0FlaznorpprimmRN1
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
opposite sides · consensus Mai Hontama
Magda Linette $6Mai Hontama $9.2K—Mai Hontama $18K
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Sumit Nagal $14Kilian Feldbausch $118—Sumit Nagal $670
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
—Dalibor Svrcina $3—Zsombor Piros $579
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
Carlos Maria Zarate $15Juan Manuel La Serna $365——
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $39—Over $153
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $51—Yes $3
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $9.8K
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.0K—No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $102
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $86—Under $9