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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)51% (437–423, n=860)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$93K$7.7M$4.1M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #620PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)74% (40 of 54 open)73% (158 of 217 open)54% (20 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankFlaznorpprimm
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $124KColts $63Colts $5.7K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $208K—Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $134K—Eagles $5.7K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68K—Eagles $131
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $1.0KGiants $37K——
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $15KNo $23K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8.6KNo $28K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $3.4K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $183KNo $76K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $101K—Colts $94
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $5.4KChiefs $48K
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
——Commanders $320Commanders $298