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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357joseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)51% (437–423, n=860)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$93K$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #614PM monthly #8PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)no open consensus position59% (23 of 39 open)55% (80 of 146 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23———
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357joseph00677primmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Panthers $6.6KBroncos $43K
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
——Commanders $285Rams $14K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $4.4K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $11K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $8.0K
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $1.2KLions $6.5K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $5.0KOver $99
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $4.8K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.6K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
——Dolphins $267Lions $787
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
——Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
——Lions $47KLions $2.6K
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $11KDolphins $3.1K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $475
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
——Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $240
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $924Over $657
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14