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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AlphaBetaGamma2357primmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)51% (437–423, n=860)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$93K$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #620PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus50% (11 of 22 open)54% (21 of 39 open)56% (80 of 144 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMLB −18 pts, n=23——Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won49% of 840 at avg 49¢, ROI +4%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 16% of 141)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 39% of 339)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 59% of 203)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 87% of 157)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAlphaBetaGamma2357primmRN1S-Works
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $5.7KCowboys $4.9K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.8KOver $1.3K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $4.8K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8KUnder $2.0K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $112—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $83Over $5.0K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $3.5K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $1.6K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $1.8K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $94Cowboys $2.0K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $792—
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $47KLions $2.2K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.2KUnder $5.9K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $1.0K—Eagles $8.7K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $1.5K—
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $195Eagles $3.2K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $924Over $993—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $3—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.3K—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745Commanders $579—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—