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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Bozos14BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (140–146, n=286)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$30K$7.7M$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #724PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)77% (47 of 61 open)no open consensus position58% (87 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢48% (won 100% of 64)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 66)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBozos14BreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Eagles $12KGiants $190K—Eagles $11K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $142K—76ers $365
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $115K—No $2.9K
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chargers
Texans $9.9KChargers $104K——
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $5.0K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $425
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16K—No $16K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $215
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $400—76ers $155
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $208K—Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68K—Giants $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $21K—Chiefs $11K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13K—Rams $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $14K—Bulls $73
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3K—Browns $311
Spread: Saints (-4.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $1.6K——Browns $2.4K