Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpPowerSupplyUnitRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)74% (65–23, n=88)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$1.7M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10was PM monthly #766PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)73% (128 of 175 open)no open consensus position56% (23 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +17 pts n=24, ROI +19%
  • MMA +14 pts n=22, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=11, ROI +10%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%78% of 69 at avg 65¢, ROI +11%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 11% of 9)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)9% (won 67% of 6)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)26% (won 78% of 18)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)52% (won 97% of 36)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpPowerSupplyUnitRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Will Sukhothai FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $56
Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maccabi Petah Tikva FC
—Maccabi Petah Tikva FC $1.0K—Maccabi Tel Aviv FC $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $21—Under $623
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $312—No $12
Exact Score: Madura United 2 - 0 Arema FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $168—Yes $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.4K—Yes $6.9K
Will Arema FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $442—No $7.8K
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6.5K—Yes $629
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $5.7K—Robin Montgomery $760
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3K—No $2.9K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.6K—Over $1.1K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0K—Under $1.1K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.9K—Under $67
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djere
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $1.0K—Matej Dodig $1.4K
Madura United vs. Arema FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Under $375
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $259—No $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42