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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)45% (10–12, n=22)66% (4112–2156, n=6268)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$5.3M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #899
Sides with the consensus83% (24 of 29 open)68% (232 of 339 open)no open consensus position67% (130 of 194 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%—
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)—
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

73 on the same side, 45 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677Pan9X
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.0K—Yes $23
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Brighton & Hove Albion FC
—Brighton & Hove Albion FC $8.3K—Getafe CF $10
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.1K—Over $6
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.0K—Over $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $14
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.1K—Yes $15
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $31
Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $1.8K—AC Milan $7
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—No $14
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $34
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $4
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1K—No $20
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $878—Over $15
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $794—Over $4
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $534—Max Hans Rehberg $6
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $500—Over $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $30
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Freiburg
—SC Freiburg $449—Trabzonspor $5
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $383—No $15
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $349—Ryan Nijboer $3
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $336—Under $16
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lincoln Red Imps FC
—HNK Hajduk Split $315—Lincoln Red Imps FC $11
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Athletic Club $45
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $283—Under $11
Utah vs. Canadiens
opposite sides · consensus Canadiens
—Utah $211—Canadiens $48
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $199—Under $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $204—Over $6
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $187—Under $22
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $153—Under $19
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $116—No $50
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FK Crvena zvezda
—Inter Club d'Escaldes $147—FK Crvena zvezda $12
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Qairat FK
—Qairat FK $135—Atalanta BC $23
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $123—Yes $22
Getafe CF vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $127—Under $7
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24—No $58
Spread: NEC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
—NEC $75—AS Omónoia Leukosías $8
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $62—Under $16
FC Midtjylland vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48—Over $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9—Under $48
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40—No $16
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $40—Over $12
Will OFI win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $44—No $7
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $32—No $15
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $18—Over $12
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $9—Olympique de Marseille $10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $19K—Yes $7
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
—Lorenzo Musetti $19K—Lorenzo Musetti $25
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $17K—Under $12
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16K—Yes $9
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $41