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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | morito181 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 53% (5923–5296, n=11219) | 69% (532–242, n=774) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.2M | $3.3M | $1.1M | $4.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #121 + pinned | PM monthly #145 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 62% (211 of 340 open) | 81% (143 of 177 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Mentions −13 pts, n=20 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 22% (won 6% of 202) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 5% (won 43% of 49) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 6% (won 53% of 55) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 67% (won 96% of 612) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.