Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpnehcnehcprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)62% (6087–3688, n=9775)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.1M-$730K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #499PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus71% (42 of 59 open)72% (143 of 199 open)59% (13 of 22 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 9048 at avg 63¢, ROI 0%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)1% (won 18% of 92)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)26% (won 44% of 2313)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)40% (won 55% of 3629)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 87% of 3014)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpnehcnehcprimm
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $4.3K76ers $797Bulls $4.7K—
76ers vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
Bulls $2.1KBulls $21576ers $4.7K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $65KColts $63—Colts $5.7K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $208K——Over $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K——Eagles $5.6K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Eagles $131
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16KNo $23K——
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $3.4K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $80Under $5.3K—
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $107Under $4.7K—
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
—Clippers $7Pelicans $4.7K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $101K——Colts $94
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $5.4K—Chiefs $48K
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $298Heat $4.7K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $390Over $4.6K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $601Lakers $4.0K—
Rams vs. Commanders
same side · consensus Rams
—Commanders $320—Commanders $285