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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | rayvanmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 50% (1078–1087, n=2165) | 87% (2315–349, n=2664) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $3.6M | $30K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #52 | was PM monthly #1000 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 64% (166 of 261 open) | 75% (15 of 20 open) | 52% (33 of 64 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 2% (won 95% of 22) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 32% (won 98% of 321) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 51% (won 98% of 507) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 14% (won 98% of 138) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | primm | rayvanmechelen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazz vs. Pelicans opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $70K | Pelicans $36 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Jazz $19K | — | — | Pelicans $2 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $169 |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7.0K | — | No $8 |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold opposite sides · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $4.7K | — | Mika Brunold $10 |
| Will Cerro Porteno win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $3.7K | — | No $12 |
| Will Sportivo Ameliano win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | Yes $412 |
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Hawks $2.7K | — | — | Wizards $10 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics opposite sides · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $2.1K | — | Bucks $1 |
| Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu | — | Bianca Andreescu $1.4K | — | Jazmin Ortenzi $2 |
| Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $977 | — | No $8 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gustavo Heide vs Juan Carlos Prado opposite sides · consensus Juan Carlos Prado | — | Juan Carlos Prado $752 | — | Gustavo Heide $10 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | — | No $390 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Lakers $595 | — | Kings $9 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli | — | Camilo Ugo Carabelli $589 | — | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $3 |
| Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $466 | — | Over $8 |
| Longwood Lancers vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks opposite sides · consensus Saint Joseph's Hawks | — | Saint Joseph's Hawks $366 | — | Longwood Lancers $5 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $105 | — | Over $82 |
| Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $100 | — | Under $3 |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $8 | — | Under $10 |
| Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre opposite sides · consensus Tiphanie Lemaitre | — | Justina Mikulskyte $2 | — | Tiphanie Lemaitre $9 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $204K | Pistons $2.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | Jazz $30K | Jazz $4 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-11.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $8.7K | Celtics $215 | — | — |
| Will Metropolitanos FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $4.8K | — | No $9 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $333 | Eastern Michigan $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-3.5) same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $954 | Pistons $1.3K | — | — |
| Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $983 | — | No $1.0K |
| FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Over $9 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | — | Gonzalo Bueno $10 |
| Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Diraiyah Saudi Club end in a draw? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $1.1K | — | No $1 |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07? same side · consensus No | — | No $865 | — | No $10 |
| Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5) same side · consensus Sydney FC | — | Sydney FC $670 | — | Sydney FC $10 |
| Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $519 | — | Over $10 |
| Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $468 | — | No $10 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | Cavaliers $304 | — | Cavaliers $8 |
| FC Dordrecht vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $296 | — | Over $3 |
| Spread: Hawks (-3.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $66 | Hawks $193 | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) same side · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | — | Pacers $10 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $197 | — | Under $7 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $123 | — | Under $10 |
| Queens (NC) Royals vs. Loyola Marymount Lions same side · consensus Loyola Marymount Lions | — | Queens (NC) Royals $22 | — | Queens (NC) Royals $8 |
| Will Barakaldo CF win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | No $24 | — | No $4 |