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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| BreakTheBank | MadridTime | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 52% (619–570, n=1189) | 47% (14348–15981, n=30329) |
| Consensus PnL | $11.0M | -$2.9K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #789 | PM monthly #18 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (77 of 114 open) | 54% (126 of 233 open) | 60% (90 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 5% (won 100% of 20) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 17% (won 100% of 63) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 23% (won 100% of 83) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 55% (won 100% of 201) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
45 on the same side, 36 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | MadridTime | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | No $10K | No $1.1K | No $41K |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $6.5K | Yes $8.8K |
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Villarreal CF | — | Villarreal CF $2.1K | Paris Saint-Germain FC $5.6K |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $4 | Over $3.0K |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | Under $2.6K |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $148 | Yes $2.3K |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $174 | Yes $2.1K |
| Will LASK Linz win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.7K | No $129 |
| Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | Yes $123 |
| Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $71 | No $1.4K |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $14 | No $1.3K |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $307 | Over $868 |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Norbert Gombos opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina | — | Dalibor Svrcina $819 | Norbert Gombos $24 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $707 | Yes $14 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $54 | No $643 |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $10 | No $433 |
| Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Lille OSC | — | FK Bodø/Glimt $406 | Lille OSC $2 |
| Exact Score: Villarreal CF 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $258 | Yes $128 |
| FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $80 | No $281 |
| FC Barcelona leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $14 | Yes $319 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 3 FC Bayern München? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $278 | Yes $19 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $17 | Over $266 |
| Will FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $140 | No $137 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: FC Bayern München O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $208 | Over $30 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $81 | Over $32 |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $91 | Yes $4 |
| Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $52 | Yes $35 |
| Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $62 | Over $19 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Over $38 |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $47 | Over $22 |
| Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Paris Saint-Germain FC | — | Villarreal CF $11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC $43 |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $15 | Over $38 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $15 | Under $34 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $46 | Under $1 |
| Cali: Rebeka Masarova vs Alice Tubello opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello | — | Alice Tubello $24 | Rebeka Masarova $15 |
| Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $19 | Yes $8 |
| Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4 | Over $1 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.8K | No $17K |
| Chennai Open: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Simona Waltert same side · consensus Simona Waltert | — | Simona Waltert $5.2K | Simona Waltert $9.0K |
| Villa Maria: Alan Magadan vs Valerio Aboian same side · consensus Valerio Aboian | — | Valerio Aboian $4.7K | Valerio Aboian $8.0K |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.7K | No $7.4K |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.6K | No $3.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon same side · consensus Lautaro Midon | — | Lautaro Midon $2.2K | Lautaro Midon $4.2K |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $4.6K | No $520 |
| Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 0 FC Bayern München? same side · consensus No | — | No $793 | No $3.1K |
| Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jonas Forejtek same side · consensus Kimmer Coppejans | — | Kimmer Coppejans $464 | Kimmer Coppejans $3.1K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $79 | No $2.7K |
| Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Aston Villa FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $906 | No $1.5K |
| Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $2.2K | Under $46 |
| LASK Linz vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $223 | Under $1.7K |