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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026MadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)45% (1455–1780, n=3235)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$129K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87PM monthly #145PM monthly #56
Sides with the consensus81% (34 of 42 open)66% (42 of 64 open)46% (86 of 187 open)56% (5 of 9 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—100% of 792 at avg 71¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—7% (won 100% of 58)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—20% (won 100% of 158)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—15% (won 100% of 120)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—58% (won 100% of 456)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026MadridTimeprimm
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $35KUnder $605—
Browns vs. Saints
opposite sides · consensus Saints
—Saints $31K—Browns $88
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19KOver $169—
SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $9.9KUnder $20—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $45576ers $6.3K—
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $345Over $1.0K—
Knoxville: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Karl Poling
opposite sides · consensus Filip Jeff Planinsek
—Karl Poling $108Filip Jeff Planinsek $957—
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
—Sønderjyske Fodbold $880FC Midtjylland $19—
Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $789Under $3—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $111K——Colts $5.1K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
—49ers $28K—49ers $40K
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $33K—Chiefs $21K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $31K—Lions $14K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $22KColts $15K——
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
same side · consensus Viking FK
—KFUM-Kameratene Oslo $18KKFUM-Kameratene Oslo $2.5K—
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $18KUnder $1.5K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $3.4KGiants $9.2K——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $484Over $9.7K
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $766Over $1.2K—
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6KUnder $48—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $113Under $178—