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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankprimmRN1SilentShark
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)50% (1244–1255, n=2499)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)58% (150–110, n=260)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$3.6M$14.8M$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #56PM monthly #34 + pinnedPM monthly #876
Sides with the consensus76% (38 of 50 open)60% (9 of 15 open)55% (68 of 123 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%32% of 66 at avg 28¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)59% (won 23% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)24% (won 38% of 16)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 63% of 8)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 33% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankprimmRN1SilentShark
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $223KOver $9.7KOver $1.1K—
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $155KEagles $894——
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $87KEagles $94——
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $45KDolphins $94—
Spread: Lions (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $9.9KDolphins $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.0KOver $10
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $747Over $10—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Lions $348Dolphins $2—
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $632K—No $34K—
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
Colts $114KColts $5.1K——
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $51KChiefs $1.4K—
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $48K—Giants $350—
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Rams $20K—Rams $31—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.0KOver $92
Spread: Lions (-6.5)
same side · consensus Lions
—Lions $954Lions $1.1K—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $4
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $315Yes $75