Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1shineforever
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)54% (74–63, n=137)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.3M$14.8M$136K
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #223
Sides with the consensus78% (320 of 412 open)no open consensus position63% (130 of 205 open)69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Geopolitics −7 pts, n=14
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%38% of 123 at avg 36¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)63% (won 4% of 77)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)2% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)2% (won 50% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)33% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

102 on the same side, 56 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1shineforever
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $56K—No $47K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $18K—Over $8.3K—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14K—Yes $1.7K—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $9.9K—Over $5.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $697——Yes $14K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $333——Yes $11K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $243——Yes $9.8K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.8K—Over $722—
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.8K—Over $1.0K—
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.3K—Yes $560—
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.0K—Yes $106—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.7K—Over $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8K—No $165—
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $3.0K—Luisina Giovannini $1.5K—
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $595—Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $3.3K—Under $215—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $743—Over $2.0K—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7K—Over $82—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.5K—Over $12—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.4K—Under $37—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $826—Yes $1.5K—
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $940—No $1.2K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K—No $312—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $429——Yes $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $578—No $1.1K—
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $100—No $1.4K—
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $13—
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $843—Yes $197—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $929—Yes $8—
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $900—Over $4—
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $880—Over $5—
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $875—Over $2—
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $700—Yes $137—
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $733—Yes $33—
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $165—Under $596—
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $686—Lisa Pigato $43—
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $619—Yes $10—
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $459—Over $59—
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
Sloane Stephens $446—Luciana Perry $54—
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $347—No $31—
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $311—Yes $14—
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
FC Red Bull Salzburg $313—RSC Anderlecht $10—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238—