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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | RegardedMoney | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5927–5304, n=11231) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 59% (748–523, n=1271) | 47% (13363–14875, n=28238) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $4.2M | $1.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #150 | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (244 of 391 open) | 74% (35 of 47 open) | no open consensus position | 64% (129 of 201 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | MLB −1 pts, n=37 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 61% of 1441 at avg 57¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 9% (won 16% of 131) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 28% (won 48% of 407) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 63% of 502) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 28% (won 85% of 401) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
57 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | RegardedMoney | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $104K | No $204K | — | No $6.5K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Rinky Hijikata opposite sides · consensus Rinky Hijikata | Rinky Hijikata $16K | — | — | Novak Djokovic $30K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $11K | — | — | No $522 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Karen Khachanov opposite sides · consensus Nuno Borges | Nuno Borges $3.9K | — | — | Karen Khachanov $3.5K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.8K | — | — | Olympiakós SFP $32 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.9K | — | — | Over $14 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $317 | — | — | No $2.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $35 |
| Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-17? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | — | Yes $80 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $59 | — | — | Over $1.9K |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $456 | — | — | Over $1.4K |
| Charlottesville: Liam Draxl vs Maks Kasnikowski opposite sides · consensus Maks Kasnikowski | Maks Kasnikowski $501 | — | — | Liam Draxl $930 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | — | No $529 |
| SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $939 | — | — | Under $2 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $213 | — | — | No $677 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $237 | — | — | Hawks $430 |
| Spread: Celtics (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $537 | — | — | Celtics $101 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $325 | — | — | Thunder $136 |
| SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $398 | — | — | Under $1 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $202 | — | — | Grizzlies $119 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $227 | — | — | Yes $63 |
| W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova | Anna Siskova $229 | — | — | Marie Weckerle $55 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $146 | — | — | No $132 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $104 | — | — | Over $124 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $125 | — | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $26 | — | — | No $15 |
| Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $136K | — | — | No $6.3K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | No $95K | — | — | No $4.4K |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Madrid CF | AEK $77K | — | — | AEK $5.5K |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $54K | — | — | Yes $20K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev same side · consensus Daniil Medvedev | Daniil Medvedev $5.5K | — | — | Daniil Medvedev $36K |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP | Olympiakós SFP $21K | — | — | Olympiakós SFP $109 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $7.5K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $5.3K |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $18K | — | — | No $73 |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $2.7K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11K | — | — | Under $4.0K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $9.7K | — | — | Under $5.4K |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $7.1K | — | — | Under $6.8K |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.2K | — | — | Over $7.9K |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $11K | — | — | Under $1.5K |
| Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Michal Krajci same side · consensus Matej Dodig | Matej Dodig $3.3K | — | — | Matej Dodig $9.0K |
| Chennai Open: Weronika Falkowska vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi same side · consensus Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi | Weronika Falkowska $129 | — | — | Weronika Falkowska $8.0K |
| Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet same side · consensus Laura Samson | Laura Samson $1.7K | — | — | Laura Samson $5.5K |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Carolina M. Alves same side · consensus Leolia Jeanjean | Leolia Jeanjean $6.9K | — | — | Leolia Jeanjean $43 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $5.7K | — | — | Under $235 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.8K | — | — | Under $3.0K |