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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmquietparcelRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)41% (6784–9620, n=16404)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.6M-$115K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #48PM monthly #243PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (96 of 134 open)56% (10 of 18 open)81% (63 of 78 open)60% (46 of 77 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—Mentions −4 pts, n=646—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)58% (won 1% of 3260)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)2% (won 39% of 118)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)4% (won 60% of 198)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)36% (won 96% of 2049)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmquietparcelRN1
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic $157Florida Atlantic $41K—Florida Atlantic $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-20.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $26K—Jaguars $19K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $12K—Over $10K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $9.7K—Jaguars $7.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Suns $4.3K——Magic $644
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Magic $2.2K——Suns $835
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $1.7K——Suns $1.1K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $2.4K—UTSA $302
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Magic $1.2K——Suns $1.1K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $670—Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Spread: James Madison (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
—James Madison $1.4K—Southern Miss $268
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $281——Ipek Oz $698
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $560—Jaguars $174
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Magic $18——Suns $236
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
Mio Mushika $2——Kanon Sawashiro $48
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Magic $2.7K——Magic $376
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $230—Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
Katie Swan $743——Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $1.1K—Ravens $654
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $502——Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $414——Suns $258
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $468——Heat $110
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Magic $104——Magic $180
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $135——Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
Han Shi $11——Han Shi $185
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
Southern Miss $16Southern Miss $32——