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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)48% (5856–6315, n=12171)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL-$1.8M$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #164PM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (52 of 78 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)57% (87 of 153 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +30 pts n=4651, ROI +23%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 4651 at avg 69¢, ROI +23%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 95% of 414)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 494)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 1015)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 2728)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 17 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297K—Steelers $1.9K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255K—Steelers $6.0K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Jets $7.2K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17K—Jets $423
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6K—Buccaneers $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $8.5K——Over $2.4K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7K——Over $14
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $786——Under $668
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $960——Over $125
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $205——Yes $648
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $346——Yes $108
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $320——Over $117
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $345——No $26
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Braga
SC Braga $183——FC Famalicão $21
Will Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $155——Yes $4
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $22K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104K—Raiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Bills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $16K——No $26K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Raiders $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20K—Jaguars $1.1K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $5.5K——No $6.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K——No $2.6K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K——No $3.3K
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $52——No $4.1K
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $764——No $2.6K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Under $335
SSC Napoli leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $4
Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $694——Over $72
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $476——Yes $283
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $278——Yes $102
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $100——No $227
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $247——No $18
Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $224——Yes $22
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $82——Under $30