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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Record (consensus markets)48% (5856–6315, n=12171)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL-$1.8M$10.6M$13.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #164PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus63% (53 of 84 open)72% (74 of 103 open)62% (91 of 146 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +30 pts n=4651, ROI +23%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic———NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won99% of 4651 at avg 69¢, ROI +23%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 95% of 414)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 494)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 1015)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 2728)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostBreakTheBankRN1beachboy4
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.7K—No $15K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $8.5K—Over $2.4K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.3K—No $528—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K—Yes $877—
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $249—No $3.4K—
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K—Yes $84—
Will Lommel SK win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $27—No $1.5K—
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $95—Under $1.1K—
Will AEK Athens win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $711—Yes $1—
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $18—Over $569—
Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $467—Under $32—
Will Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5—Yes $119—
Will Ujpest FC Budapest win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $90—Yes $2—
Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Elche CF
Valencia CF $68—Elche CF $8—
Will LDU Quito win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $44—
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $12—Over $16—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K—Under $5.8K—
Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2K—Yes $13K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K—No $2.6K—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.8K—Under $3.0K—
Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.2K—Under $184—
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.5K—Yes $692—
Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4.0K—Under $105—
Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.4K—No $1.3K—
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $833—No $1.9K—
Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $1.1K—
Will Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $695—No $1.1K—
CS Marítimo vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Under $23—
Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $635—Under $789—
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.3K—No $73—
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $75—No $1.2K—
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $932—Over $348—
CS Marítimo vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $37—Over $1.2K—
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $45—Yes $861—
Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $78—No $802—
Spread: Panathinaikos Athens (-1.5)
same side · consensus Panathinaikos Athens
Panathinaikos Athens $611—Panathinaikos Athens $2—
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
Yes $144—Yes $381—
Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $464—Over $7—
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $201—No $129—
Cusco FC vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $130—Under $17—