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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HRTradingBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (2951–2450, n=5401)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$11K$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #990PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (71 of 137 open)72% (78 of 108 open)57% (84 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=54, ROI +51%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=273, ROI +35%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=28, ROI +25%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 28)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 77)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 99% of 97)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up47% (won 100% of 176)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHRTradingBreakTheBankRN1
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $15Bills $378KBills $27K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $145Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $3Magic $13KMagic $161
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Celtics $103Magic $76K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $109
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $73—Under $9.2K
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Dylan Dietrich $1—Liam Draxl $5.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Jangjun Kim $4—Ozan Baris $4.0K
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $43—Over $3.4K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $2.2K
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $31—Yes $934
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6—Yes $648
Will COD Meknès win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3—Yes $283
Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138—Felipe de Dios $1
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11—Yes $102
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $32—Under $30
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $48—Over $12
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Valentin Garay $5—Nicolas Bruna $17
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1
Raiders vs. Jets
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $97Raiders $171K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $886—No $26K
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $17—No $6.7K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $44—No $3.3K
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $23—No $2.4K
Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
same side · consensus No
No $1—No $2.1K
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
same side · consensus Toulouse FC
Toulouse FC $4—Toulouse FC $1.8K
Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli?
same side · consensus No
No $6—No $1.2K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $11—Under $668
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2—Over $526
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $15—Under $335
Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman
same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman
Ryan Seggerman $13—Ryan Seggerman $294
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $23—Under $213
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3—Under $228
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $17—No $185
Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $16—Over $170
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $22—Under $141
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $24—Yes $108
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1—Over $39
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $17—No $18
SSC Napoli leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $18—No $4
Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1—Over $20
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
No $1—No $18
Will Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
Yes $7—Yes $4
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1—Under $6