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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| HRTrading | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (70 of 137 open) | 58% (85 of 146 open) | 73% (80 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
32 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $15 | Bills $22K | Bills $378K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $145 | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $1.9K | Browns $297K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $103 | — | Magic $76K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $109 | Raiders $17K |
| Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $73 | Under $9.2K | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $1 | Liam Draxl $5.2K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris | Jangjun Kim $4 | Ozan Baris $4.0K | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $43 | Over $3.4K | — |
| Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $31 | No $2.2K | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $31 | Yes $934 | — |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $6 | Yes $648 | — |
| Will COD Meknès win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3 | Yes $283 | — |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $138 | Felipe de Dios $1 | — |
| Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11 | Yes $102 | — |
| SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $32 | Under $30 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $48 | Over $12 | — |
| Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna | Valentin Garay $5 | Nicolas Bruna $17 | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $21 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $97 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $4.3K | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.7K | Raiders $24K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $856 | No $26K | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $20K |
| Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $17 | No $6.7K | — |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $44 | No $3.3K | — |
| Will GV CD San José win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $23 | No $2.4K | — |
| Exact Score: Athletic Club 0 - 0 Real Sociedad de Fútbol? same side · consensus No | No $1 | No $2.1K | — |
| Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5) same side · consensus Toulouse FC | Toulouse FC $4 | Toulouse FC $1.8K | — |
| Exact Score: Juventus FC 3 - 0 SSC Napoli? same side · consensus No | No $6 | No $1.2K | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $11 | Under $668 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $2 | Over $526 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $15 | Under $335 | — |
| Bratislava 2: Jonas Forejtek vs Ryan Seggerman same side · consensus Ryan Seggerman | Ryan Seggerman $13 | Ryan Seggerman $294 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $23 | Under $213 | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $3 | Under $228 | — |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $17 | No $185 | — |
| Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $16 | Over $170 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $22 | Under $141 | — |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $24 | Yes $108 | — |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $17 | No $18 | — |
| SSC Napoli leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $18 | No $4 | — |
| Telstar 1963 vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1 | Over $20 | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus Yes | No $1 | No $18 | — |
| Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1 | Over $14 | — |
| Will Club The Strongest vs. GV CD San José end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $7 | Yes $4 | — |