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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HorribleWork | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (432–235, n=667) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | -$238K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 6% (1 of 17 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 53% (57 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy −6 pts, n=36 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 70% of 615 at avg 67¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 15% of 163) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 36% of 39) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 6% (won 71% of 35) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 61% (won 98% of 378) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HorribleWork | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $55K | — | No $411K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $14K | — | No $252K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.9K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $16 | — | No $40K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.5K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15 | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $320 | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $651 | — | No $35K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $110 | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | Yes $6.4K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |