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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Nooseracbeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)52% (5263–4808, n=10071)68% (43–20, n=63)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$5.8M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #40was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #373PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus75% (44 of 59 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position74% (72 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=164NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10044 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1317)3% (won 17% of 6)7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 46% of 3583)29% (won 56% of 62)26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3478)54% (won 51% of 115)42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 85% of 1666)14% (won 86% of 29)24% (won 96% of 27)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketNooseracbeachboy40x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBank
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $13K——Chiefs $465K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.5K——Yes $39K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.8K——Yes $14K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5K——No $16K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11K——Yes $28
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $13K——No $407K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7K——Yes $20K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $844——Yes $16K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.8K——Yes $3.0K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $192——Yes $2.5K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K——Yes $967
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $334——Yes $2.3K
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K——Yes $118
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.1K——Yes $193
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $56——Yes $164