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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Ryxon21 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 71% (148–60, n=208) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $133K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #461 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (42 of 54 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 64% (21 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 297 at avg 77¢, ROI +10% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 46% of 24) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 11% (won 78% of 32) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 95% of 21) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 97% of 220) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Ryxon21 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $51 | — | Yes $272K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.7K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $25K | — | Yes $77K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $10K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.1K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.7K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.8K | — | Yes $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Raiders $5.8K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | — | Yes $72K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $60 | — | No $24K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |