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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunlineTicker | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (3081–1771, n=4852) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $330K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (19 of 45 open) | 64% (95 of 149 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 3650 at avg 54¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 70% of 190) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 97% of 1424) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1427) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 609) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunlineTicker | RN1 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $336 | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | — | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $192 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Lions | Vikings $1.7K | Lions $3.2K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $328 | Over $4.2K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $183 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $2.2K | Over $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $1.5K | Ravens $1.7K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $1.3K | Magic $223 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $188 | Over $989 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $15 | Over $1.1K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $185 | Under $746 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $342 | Under $228 | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $8.8K | — | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.5K | Ravens $847 | — | — |
| Spread: Lions (-1.5) same side · consensus Lions | Lions $176 | Lions $1.1K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | Under $58 | — | — |
| Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 46.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $200 | Over $718 | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $644 | Steelers $211 | — | — |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $286 | Under $213 | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $10 | Falcons $321 | — | — |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $218 | Titans $8 | — | — |