← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Tenebrus7 | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (2110–687, n=2797) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $128K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #841 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (111 of 128 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Elections −4 pts, n=382 | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 3190 at avg 70¢, ROI +1% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 7% of 540) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 37% of 188) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 58% of 325) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 92% of 2137) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.