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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Warren-Buffett | sainttroplay | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (432–218, n=650) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $119K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (25 of 49 open) | no open consensus position | 58% (92 of 160 open) | 61% (22 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=36 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1105 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 8% of 391) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 49% of 69) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 69% of 95) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 550) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Warren-Buffett | sainttroplay | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $14K | Ravens $696 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $1.2K | Buccaneers $4.9K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Ravens $647 | Bills $4.5K |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $4.0K | Ravens $295 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $1.3K | Buccaneers $2.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Ravens $1.4K | Bills $2.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $1.6K | Buccaneers $1.5K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $2.1K | Raiders $138 |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $225 | Browns $471 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $434 | Under $65 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $22K | Bills $395 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $9.2K | Under $2.8K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $4.5K | Buccaneers $3.6K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.8K | Under $575 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Buccaneers $3.8K | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Steelers (-6.5) same side · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $4.7K | Steelers $156 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-13.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Buccaneers $1.2K | Buccaneers $1.5K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-14.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $2.5K | Jaguars $4 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.2K | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $1.2K | Bills $282 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | — | Buccaneers $748 | Buccaneers $181 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $166 | Over $2 |