Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)52% (5414–4963, n=10377)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$11.0M$687K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #120PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)65% (74 of 114 open)61% (67 of 110 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93—Other Sports −1 pts, n=164—
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 10253 at avg 51¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)13% (won 19% of 1347)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)35% (won 46% of 3634)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)35% (won 61% of 3558)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)17% (won 86% of 1714)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSjoseph00677
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $23KNo $4.7K—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $16KYes $4.0K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $4.8K—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $11K—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $13K—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $183KYes $15K—
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $31KYes $1.8K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $23KYes $3.1K—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $10KNo $13K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.6KYes $5.7K—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $75Yes $1.5K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3KYes $96—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $29Yes $498—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $164Yes $56—