← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| blue.birds | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 36% (1961–3499, n=5460) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $10K | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #456 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 52% (13 of 25 open) | 68% (186 of 272 open) | 56% (99 of 177 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −6 pts, n=1141 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 16% of 1141 at avg 22¢, ROI −4% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 74% (won 1% of 843) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 13% of 87) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 8% (won 53% of 93) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 97% of 118) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
30 on the same side, 28 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | blue.birds | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Grizzlies $357 | Pacers $1.5K | Grizzlies $123 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | — | Grizzlies $218K | Pacers $6.0K | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $30K | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $19K | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $301 | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | — | — | Jazz $2.2K | Pelicans $280 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | — | — | Nets $2.2K | Hornets $10 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $274 | Under $1.7K |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.3K | Under $532 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $138 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| Spread: Thunder (-18.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $880 | Thunder $17 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $801 | Over $46 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $632 | Under $106 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $315 | Over $235 |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $535 | Yes $1 |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $507 | Over $1 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | — | Jazz $323 | — | Pelicans $143 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | — | — | Nuggets $211 | Raptors $130 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2 | Over $278 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $146 | Over $85 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Suns $124 | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | — | Trail Blazers $188 | Suns $6 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $100 | Over $2 |
| Will América de Cali win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $6.7K | No $3.6K |
| Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.2K | Under $2.4K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $4.9K | Under $113 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.9K | Under $255 |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Thunder $3.9K | Thunder $35 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $2.4K | Under $428 |
| Flames vs. Kraken same side · consensus Flames | — | — | Kraken $147 | Kraken $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $5 | Over $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $42 | No $1.3K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $1.2K | Lakers $3 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $101 | Under $1.1K |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | — | Spurs $945 | Spurs $186 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $7 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $17 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $669 | Under $364 |
| Spread: Lakers (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | — | Lakers $802 | Lakers $17 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | — | Raptors $524 | Raptors $275 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $720 | Under $20 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) same side · consensus Thunder | — | — | Thunder $431 | Thunder $270 |
| Will LD Alajuelense win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $499 | No $133 |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 230.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $470 | Under $23 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | — | Timberwolves $352 | Timberwolves $130 |