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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
btnaFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (42–22, n=64)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$55K$3.6M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #555PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (7 of 10 open)76% (105 of 139 open)no open consensus position62% (39 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won67% of 42 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 36% of 11)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 67% of 6)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 64% of 14)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 100% of 11)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketbtnaFlaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $18KNo $195——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $5.0K—Magic $644
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.4KNo $319——
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $3.7K—Magic $376
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $1.2K—Suns $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.4K—Warriors $108
Spread: Suns (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.0K—Magic $180
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
W35 Hamamatsu: Kanon Sawashiro vs Mio Mushika
opposite sides · consensus Kanon Sawashiro
—Mio Mushika $2—Kanon Sawashiro $48
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $157—Florida Atlantic $20K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $8.9K—Suns $1.1K
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $1.1K—Harold Mayot $3.7K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $2.2K—Suns $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-2.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.8K—Suns $1.1K
W100 Incheon: Katie Swan vs Xinxin Yao
same side · consensus Katie Swan
—Katie Swan $851—Katie Swan $1.1K
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Suns $1.7K—Suns $258
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $245
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $502—Under $338
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $149—Warriors $87
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
W100 Incheon: Han Shi vs Berfu Cengiz
same side · consensus Han Shi
—Han Shi $11—Han Shi $156