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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
canupdatelateronFlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)68% (514–246, n=760)52% (6455–6056, n=12511)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$27K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #898PM monthly #11PM monthly #53PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)73% (130 of 179 open)no open consensus position50% (16 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicTennis −3 pts, n=74Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won8% of 415 at avg 6¢, ROI +1%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢94% (won 6% of 392)29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 0% of 8)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 60% of 10)16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 5)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketcanupdatelateronFlaznorpprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.3K
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Will Lamphun Warriors FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $889—Yes $47
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $793—Yes $2
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
—Nishesh Basavareddy $73—Jerome Kym $275
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $312—No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $28K—Alexandra Eala $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $8.6K—Ben Shelton $24K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
—Mai Hontama $5.5K—Mai Hontama $6.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $639—Noma Noha Akugue $71
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42