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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)79% (1403–380, n=1783)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$1.0M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #152PM monthly #113PM monthly #49
Sides with the consensus58% (52 of 89 open)no open consensus position72% (71 of 98 open)51% (20 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +22 pts n=1282, ROI +7%
  • NBA +13 pts n=512, ROI +6%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won—92% of 1798 at avg 73¢, ROI +7%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 73% of 83)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 84% of 298)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 88% of 448)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up—54% (won 98% of 969)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026fkALG2FalconsTESndb1primm
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $42K——Commanders $285
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $25K——Panthers $6.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $20K——Colts $5.7K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9.1K——Under $6.8K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.4K——Over $3.9K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.0K——Under $5.3K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.1K——Under $4.6K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26——Under $3.3K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
Rams $3.1K——Commanders $133
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $2.7K——Saints $16
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $924
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $6——Under $1.6K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $597——Under $103
Spread: Cowboys (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $332——Colts $76
Spread: Giants (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $55——Eagles $195
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $43K——Chiefs $48K
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $39K——Lions $47K
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K——49ers $40K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $19K——Over $6.8K
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $95——Under $5.0K
Spread: Lions (-5.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $1.1K——Lions $3.2K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Eagles $53——Eagles $131