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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| gopfan2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (597–471, n=1068) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.7M | $10.6M | $13.4M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #370 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (40 of 46 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 63% (97 of 153 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 1204 at avg 58¢, ROI +13% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 17% of 261) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 75% of 197) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 87% of 219) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 96% of 527) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | gopfan2 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $242 | Yes $272K | — | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $241 | No $90K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $279 | Yes $71K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.5K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.6K | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | No $18K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | No $10K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $35K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.3K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $3.9K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $13K | No $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | Yes $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 | — |