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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| hedgevaultmainnet1 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (2121–1771, n=3892) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | -$110K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #813 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (30 of 51 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | 62% (86 of 139 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 95% of 1390 at avg 66¢, ROI +20% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 61% of 100) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 92% of 218) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 27% (won 97% of 376) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 696) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | hedgevaultmainnet1 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $387K | Ravens $703 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | Steelers $51 |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | Steelers $3.4K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | Jets $255 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $13 | Cardinals $58K | — |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? opposite sides · consensus No | No $831 | Yes $42K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | Cowboys $23 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $492 | Yes $20K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.3K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | Cowboys $611 |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $559 | — | No $2.5K |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $12 | — | No $2.7K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2 | — | No $94 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $340 | Yes $258K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $229 | — | No $23K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $103 | — | No $13K |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $41 | — | Yes $10K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $1.3K | — | Over $8.3K |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $642 | — | Yes $7.3K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $8 | — | Over $2.2K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers same side · consensus Buccaneers | Falcons $544 | — | Falcons $984 |
| Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | Yes $751 |
| Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $604 | — | Yes $37 |