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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
mombilCORGIIRN1primm
Record (consensus markets)59% (1083–758, n=1841)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$504K$4.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #707 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus69% (45 of 65 open)0% (0 of 4 open)53% (70 of 132 open)65% (17 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won46% of 2120 at avg 41¢, ROI +2%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 10% of 1032)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 52% of 250)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 70% of 255)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up28% (won 95% of 583)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketmombilCORGIIRN1primm
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $18KRavens $696
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $647Bills $4.5K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
——Bills $4.0KRavens $295
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KUnder $2.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $1.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $2.2KOver $8
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $1.0KUnder $17
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $225Browns $471
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $434Under $65
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $28KBills $395
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $9.2KUnder $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $261
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $4.0KBills $2.7K
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
same side · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $4.7KSteelers $156
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.5KBills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $629Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $93Bills $662