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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
pauleta23CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)65% (15655–8312, n=23967)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$243K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #843PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus56% (18 of 32 open)0% (0 of 4 open)53% (63 of 118 open)72% (73 of 102 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 32% of 1299)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 77% of 1979)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 3086)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 97% of 4188)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketpauleta23CORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14—Over $7.0K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7—Under $2.9K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $192—Falcons $2.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20—No $2.6K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1—Under $1.0K—
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2—Under $643—
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $28—Bills $93—
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10—Yes $108—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $8—No $26—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1—No $26K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $161Magic $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18—Over $3.0K—
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $5—No $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $18—Over $2.4K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2—Over $1.3K—
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $10—No $516—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $7—Over $382—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
Yes $13—Yes $10—