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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
peepeepooppoopBreakTheBankbeachboy400gringo00
Record (consensus markets)54% (870–748, n=1618)45% (526–640, n=1166)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$12K$10.6M$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #700PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus50% (96 of 192 open)74% (72 of 97 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNFL −6 pts, n=74—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won77% of 1744 at avg 67¢, ROI −1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 20% of 333)10% (won 85% of 53)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 62% of 152)36% (won 98% of 192)29% (won 56% of 62)0%
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 74% of 204)35% (won 99% of 187)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 97% of 1055)20% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketpeepeepooppoopBreakTheBankbeachboy400gringo00
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $88No $252K——
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $21Yes $169K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $85No $40K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $38No $16K——
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $464Yes $4.1K——
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $532No $590——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $45Yes $943——
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19No $747——
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $35No $184K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $26Yes $77K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $275Yes $28K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $54No $23K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $62Yes $20K——
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35Yes $3.0K——
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $32No $2.4K——
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $18Yes $2.3K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $43Yes $1.1K——
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $129Yes $28——