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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| scottilicious | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 83% (689–139, n=828) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (34 of 42 open) | 61% (76 of 125 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto ±0 pts, n=75 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 1151 at avg 86¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 13% of 78) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 21% of 14) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 3% (won 54% of 39) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 95% of 1020) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | scottilicious | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $283K | — | No $202K | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $79 | Browns $300K | — |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $3.2K | Browns $259K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $21 | — | No $253K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Jets $245 | Raiders $105K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $70K | — | No $16K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $16K | — | No $35K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8.0K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.2K | Bills $35K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $18 | Cardinals $32K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.2K | — | Yes $28K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.5K | Falcons $8.6K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $569 | Cardinals $2.7K | — |