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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188surfandturfbeachboy4joseph00677pleaseplease1230xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
| suntori | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (10674–13008, n=23682) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 47% (13858–15341, n=29199) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #792 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (86 of 152 open) | 90% (146 of 163 open) | 50% (4 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=3302 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 42% of 10150 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 9% of 3590) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 22% (won 36% of 2197) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 25% (won 59% of 2489) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 88% of 1874) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.