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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| takeormake | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2308–1925, n=4233) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $986K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #25 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (16 of 30 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | 62% (93 of 150 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 87% of 2057 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 33% of 220) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 84% of 413) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 45% (won 96% of 918) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 98% of 506) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | takeormake | BreakTheBank | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | Steelers $1.3K | Browns $259K | — | Steelers $3.6K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $24K | Raiders $105K | — | Jets $257 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $11K | Bills $35K | — | Ravens $761 |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $40K | Bills $387K | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | — | Steelers $91 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $32K | — | Cowboys $21 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | Colts $57 | Jaguars $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.3K | Bills $2.1K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | — | Cowboys $605 |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $30K | Raiders $234K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $2.3K | Cardinals $58K | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $21K | Raiders $18K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $4.2K | — | — | Ravens $149 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $990 | — | — | Magic $116 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $94 | — | — | Over $777 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $86 | — | — | Over $329 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $51 | — | — | Over $21 |