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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
topdogbigboiCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (3528–4316, n=7844)62% (393–245, n=638)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$435$4.5M$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967PM monthly #68was PM monthly #24PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (52 of 92 open)25% (1 of 4 open)100% (1 of 1 open)52% (32 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1153 at avg 62¢, ROI +44%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 97% of 112)9% (won 92% of 36)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 100% of 257)56% (won 99% of 223)29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 100% of 313)33% (won 100% of 133)54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 471)2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarkettopdogbigboiCORGIIbeachboy4RN1
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $427——Over $7.0K
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $240——No $3.3K
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $196——Falcons $2.7K
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $4——Over $542
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $19——Under $405
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $81——No $227
Will CA Grau win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $89——Yes $22
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $100——Under $6
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $58——No $26
Exact Score: Athletic Club 3 - 1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8——Yes $18
Cerro Porteno vs. Club Olimpia: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $15——Under $9
Villa Maria: Valentin Garay vs Nicolas Bruna
opposite sides · consensus Nicolas Bruna
Valentin Garay $5——Nicolas Bruna $17
Spread: Cowboys (-13.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $269——Cardinals $11K
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Steelers $351——Steelers $9.1K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus DENDELE CS
Imperial $42Imperial $7.9K——
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
same side · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $10——Liam Draxl $5.2K
Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien
same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar $3——Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K
Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93——No $2.6K
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $33——No $2.2K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2——Under $1.0K
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13——Under $643
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $118——No $516
Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $43——Over $358
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $2——Over $207
SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $4——Under $30
Will CA Grau vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $23——No $5
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)
same side · consensus SC Braga
FC Famalicão $2——FC Famalicão $21
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5——No $18