Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 68% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
19
Down 75%
$1.1K
$28.81
Smart Money Signal
13 of 19 top traders (68%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518 | Downavg 51.1¢ | $248.55 | $486.2 | +$237.65 | 58% 38519-27590 (66109) |
PL ply-pm0 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $206.64 | $170 | -$36.64 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Downavg 83¢ | $115.2 | $131.99 | +$16.79 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14 | Downavg 88¢ | $134.63 | $120 | -$14.63 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
 machinelearned<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $85.92 | $72 | -$13.92 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
SI sir-upalot<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $19.86 | $20 | +$0.14 | 55% 24186-19512 (43698) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $18.06 | $11.85 | -$6.21 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 88.1¢ | $9.93 | $11.27 | +$1.34 | 66% 127130-65419 (192549) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 86¢ | $9.3 | $9.71 | +$0.41 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $5 | $8.06 | +$3.06 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
PA Parad0X<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $4.48 | $8 | +$3.52 | 56% 2307-1797 (4104) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 87.3¢ | $6.37 | $7.3 | +$0.93 | 61% 96070-60558 (156628) |
IV Ivan948CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $76.59 | — | -$76.59 | 43% 79-105 (184) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $67.75 | — | -$67.75 | 35% 19127-36144 (55271) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Upavg 47.3¢ | $18.89 | — | -$18.89 | 58% 51351-37477 (88828) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 88¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
Invested
$248.55
Value
$486.2
PnL
+$237.65
Record
58%
38519-27590 (66109)
Invested
$206.64
Value
$170
PnL
-$36.64
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
Invested
$115.2
Value
$131.99
PnL
+$16.79
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
Invested
$134.63
Value
$120
PnL
-$14.63
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
machinelearned<$100Invested
$85.92
Value
$72
PnL
-$13.92
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$19.86
Value
$20
PnL
+$0.14
Record
55%
24186-19512 (43698)
Invested
$18.06
Value
$11.85
PnL
-$6.21
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
Invested
$9.93
Value
$11.27
PnL
+$1.34
Record
66%
127130-65419 (192549)
Invested
$9.3
Value
$9.71
PnL
+$0.41
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
Invested
$5
Value
$8.06
PnL
+$3.06
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
$4.48
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.52
Record
56%
2307-1797 (4104)
Invested
$6.37
Value
$7.3
PnL
+$0.93
Record
61%
96070-60558 (156628)
Invested
$76.59
Value
—
PnL
-$76.59
Record
43%
79-105 (184)
Invested
$67.75
Value
—
PnL
-$67.75
Record
35%
19127-36144 (55271)
Invested
$18.89
Value
—
PnL
-$18.89
Record
58%
51351-37477 (88828)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down — $486.2
ply-pm0
Down — $170
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Down — $131.99
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $120
machinelearned
Down — $72
sir-upalot
Down — $20
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Down — $11.85
asdaefef
Down — $11.27
aaa221
Down — $9.71
antsaslyku
Down — $8.06