Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
23
Up 67%
$1.3K
$43.66
Smart Money Signal
14 of 23 top traders (61%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 58.5Β’ | $461.67 | $457.94 | -$3.73 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
![]() pspspsps5 | Upavg 51.8Β’ | $95.51 | $163.46 | +$67.95 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 80.1Β’ | $143.7 | $141.09 | +$0.69 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 71.9Β’ | $139.27 | $134.22 | -$5.05 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster | Upavg 89.7Β’ | $94.2 | $105 | +$10.8 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
PB PBot-6 | Upavg 48.5Β’ | $48.5 | $100 | +$51.5 | 58% 51351-37477 (88828) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96Β’ | $66.6 | $69.38 | +$2.78 | 66% 127130-65419 (192549) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 98Β’ | $50.96 | $52 | +$1.04 | 52% 91337-85780 (177117) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 97.6Β’ | $47.32 | $48.49 | +$1.17 | 61% 96070-60558 (156628) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 49Β’ | $9.8 | $20 | +$10.2 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 60Β’ | $3.08 | $5.13 | +$2.05 | 58% 38519-27590 (66109) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 66Β’ | $3.3 | $5 | +$1.7 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
LI Little-bigCTR<$100 | Downavg 34.6Β’ | $33.79 | β | -$33.79 | 35% 19127-36144 (55271) |
![]() machinelearnedCTR<$100 | Downavg 51Β’ | $36.72 | β | -$36.72 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
0X 0x50f7 | Upavg 97Β’ | $237.21 | $0.43 | +$0.01 | 59% 62683-43765 (106448) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $12.5 | β | -$12.5 | 64% 40650-23332 (63982) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 49Β’ | $12.25 | β | -$12.25 | 58% 61097-44619 (105716) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1Β’ | $0.05 | β | -$0.05 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $2.15 | β | -$2.15 | 56% 58651-45296 (103947) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.2Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | β | β | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
WZ wzbbbCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.5Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
![]() Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 84Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
Invested
$461.67
Value
$457.94
PnL
-$3.73
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
pspspsps5Invested
$95.51
Value
$163.46
PnL
+$67.95
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
Invested
$143.7
Value
$141.09
PnL
+$0.69
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
Invested
$139.27
Value
$134.22
PnL
-$5.05
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
G-Penis-MonsterInvested
$94.2
Value
$105
PnL
+$10.8
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
Invested
$48.5
Value
$100
PnL
+$51.5
Record
58%
51351-37477 (88828)
Invested
$66.6
Value
$69.38
PnL
+$2.78
Record
66%
127130-65419 (192549)
Invested
$50.96
Value
$52
PnL
+$1.04
Record
52%
91337-85780 (177117)
Invested
$47.32
Value
$48.49
PnL
+$1.17
Record
61%
96070-60558 (156628)
Invested
$9.8
Value
$20
PnL
+$10.2
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
Invested
$3.08
Value
$5.13
PnL
+$2.05
Record
58%
38519-27590 (66109)
Invested
$3.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.7
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
Invested
$33.79
Value
β
PnL
-$33.79
Record
35%
19127-36144 (55271)
machinelearnedCTR<$100Invested
$36.72
Value
β
PnL
-$36.72
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$237.21
Value
$0.43
PnL
+$0.01
Record
59%
62683-43765 (106448)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$12.5
Value
β
PnL
-$12.5
Record
64%
40650-23332 (63982)
Invested
$12.25
Value
β
PnL
-$12.25
Record
58%
61097-44619 (105716)
Invested
$0.05
Value
β
PnL
-$0.05
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
$2.15
Value
β
PnL
-$2.15
Record
56%
58651-45296 (103947)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up β $457.94

pspspsps5
Up β $163.46
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up β $141.09
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up β $134.22

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $105
PBot-6
Up β $100
asdaefef
Up β $69.38
dvasdkasodk
Up β $52
asidjasiodja
Up β $48.49
aaa221
Up β $20