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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 95% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

20

Down 94%

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

$284.13

Smart Money Signal

Down

19 of 20 top traders (95%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down19 traders
Total Value$1.5K
Total Shares1,519
Combined PnL+$293.63
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares150
Combined PnL-$9.5
Down — 95%Up — 5%
machinelearned
Down

Invested

$405.12

Value

$436

PnL

+$30.88

Record

55%

8975-7405 (16380)

LI
Little-big
Down

Invested

$104

Value

$250

PnL

+$146

Record

35%

19127-36144 (55271)

PL
ply-pm0
Down

Invested

$221.39

Value

$208.02

PnL

-$13.38

Record

50%

5595-5654 (11249)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Down

Invested

$161.42

Value

$206.98

PnL

+$45.56

Record

58%

38519-27590 (66109)

DA
dangerously-skip-permissions
Down

Invested

$129.8

Value

$177.5

PnL

+$47.7

Record

55%

15793-13173 (28966)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$45.74

Value

$56.69

PnL

+$10.95

Record

64%

24910-13769 (38679)

RE
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding<$100
Down

Invested

$43.32

Value

$48.13

PnL

+$4.81

Record

60%

12590-8362 (20952)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$29.43

Value

$36.67

PnL

+$7.24

Record

65%

112580-59438 (172018)

FairValueMachine<$100
Down

Invested

$26.4

Value

$35

PnL

+$8.6

Record

56%

12755-9823 (22578)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$14.93

Value

$16.23

PnL

+$1.3

Record

66%

127130-65419 (192549)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$13.85

Value

$15.05

PnL

+$1.2

Record

61%

96070-60558 (156628)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$11.88

Value

$12.12

PnL

+$0.24

Record

52%

91337-85780 (177117)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$4.25

Value

$5.31

PnL

+$1.06

Record

55%

18397-14984 (33381)

GO
GoodFallen<$100
Down

Invested

$4.05

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.95

Record

56%

14039-11169 (25208)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$4.6

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.4

Record

58%

61097-44619 (105716)

0X
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

55%

7798-6379 (14177)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$9.5

Value

—

PnL

-$9.5

Record

46%

38690-45787 (84477)

CR
CrouchPredictions<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

14935-11735 (26670)

AR
arcsine-barrister<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

3699-2861 (6560)

WZ
wzbbb<$100
Down

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

8368-6491 (14859)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x6dbb5eb1...b1ef9a
Slug
btc-updown-5m-1793567400

Traders in this Market

machinelearned

Down — $436

+$30.88
LI

Little-big

Down — $250

+$146
PL

ply-pm0

Down — $208.02

-$13.38
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $206.98

+$45.56
DA

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $177.5

+$47.7
AA

aaa221

Down — $56.69

+$10.95
RE

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $48.13

+$4.81
AN

antsaslyku

Down — $36.67

+$7.24

FairValueMachine

Down — $35

+$8.6
AS

asdaefef

Down — $16.23

+$1.3
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