Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Up 87%
$1.2K
$101.24
Smart Money Signal
16 of 20 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%14 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm0 | Upavg 71.9¢ | $261.91 | $308 | +$46.09 | 50% 5595-5654 (11249) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissions | Upavg 65.4¢ | $144.44 | $172.42 | +$27.98 | 55% 15793-13173 (28966) |
LI Little-big | Upavg 71.9¢ | $115.74 | $160.95 | +$45.21 | 35% 19127-36144 (55271) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 87¢ | $124.13 | $136.94 | +$12.8 | 55% 8975-7405 (16380) |
SE seeeeeeb | Upavg 99¢ | $133.65 | $135 | +$1.35 | 53% 806-729 (1535) |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 81.3¢ | $112.91 | $134.71 | +$21.79 | 60% 12590-8362 (20952) |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e<$100 | Upavg 75.6¢ | $56.49 | $39.81 | -$16.69 | 55% 7798-6379 (14177) |
GO GoodFallen<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $22.8 | $30 | +$7.2 | 56% 14039-11169 (25208) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91.1¢ | $26.64 | $29.24 | +$2.6 | 64% 24910-13769 (38679) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 81¢ | $5 | $6.17 | +$1.17 | 65% 112580-59438 (172018) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $5.46 | $6 | +$0.54 | 52% 91337-85780 (177117) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $4.3 | $5.38 | +$1.08 | 55% 18397-14984 (33381) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $4 | $5 | +$1 | 62% 44295-27280 (71575) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 21.6¢ | $42.19 | — | -$42.19 | 46% 38690-45787 (84477) |
 FairValueMachineCTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $8.7 | — | -$8.7 | 56% 12755-9823 (22578) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR<$100 | Downavg 8.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 14935-11735 (26670) |
AR arcsine-barristerCTR<$100 | Down | — | — | +$0 | 56% 3699-2861 (6560) |
WZ wzbbb<$100 | Upavg 47.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 8368-6491 (14859) |
 Atomforge<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 4342-2386 (6728) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126470-67602 (194072) |
Invested
$261.91
Value
$308
PnL
+$46.09
Record
50%
5595-5654 (11249)
Invested
$144.44
Value
$172.42
PnL
+$27.98
Record
55%
15793-13173 (28966)
Invested
$115.74
Value
$160.95
PnL
+$45.21
Record
35%
19127-36144 (55271)
machinelearnedInvested
$124.13
Value
$136.94
PnL
+$12.8
Record
55%
8975-7405 (16380)
Invested
$133.65
Value
$135
PnL
+$1.35
Record
53%
806-729 (1535)
Invested
$112.91
Value
$134.71
PnL
+$21.79
Record
60%
12590-8362 (20952)
Invested
$56.49
Value
$39.81
PnL
-$16.69
Record
55%
7798-6379 (14177)
Invested
$22.8
Value
$30
PnL
+$7.2
Record
56%
14039-11169 (25208)
Invested
$26.64
Value
$29.24
PnL
+$2.6
Record
64%
24910-13769 (38679)
Invested
$5
Value
$6.17
PnL
+$1.17
Record
65%
112580-59438 (172018)
Invested
$5.46
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.54
Record
52%
91337-85780 (177117)
Invested
$4.3
Value
$5.38
PnL
+$1.08
Record
55%
18397-14984 (33381)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1
Record
62%
44295-27280 (71575)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$42.19
Value
—
PnL
-$42.19
Record
46%
38690-45787 (84477)
FairValueMachineCTR<$100Invested
$8.7
Value
—
PnL
-$8.7
Record
56%
12755-9823 (22578)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
14935-11735 (26670)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
3699-2861 (6560)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
8368-6491 (14859)
Atomforge<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
4342-2386 (6728)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126470-67602 (194072)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm0
Up — $308
dangerously-skip-permissions
Up — $172.42
Little-big
Up — $160.95
machinelearned
Up — $136.94
seeeeeeb
Up — $135
Repentant-Dealer-Gliding
Up — $134.71
0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e
Up — $39.81
GoodFallen
Up — $30
aaa221
Up — $29.24
antsaslyku
Up — $6.17