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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Haradwaith | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3297, n=7818) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 40% (3385–5153, n=8538) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | -$465K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #276 | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (12 of 17 open) | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 69% (360 of 519 open) | 74% (81 of 110 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.