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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1stepanka1234
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)79% (65–17, n=82)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M$38K
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #620
Sides with the consensus73% (19 of 26 open)73% (104 of 142 open)50% (26 of 52 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 60 at avg 78¢, ROI +20%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)23% (won 100% of 14)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)77% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 23 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1stepanka1234
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4KAlice Tubello $3.1KAlice Tubello $11K—
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $241KDplus KIA $30——
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $11—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.4KYes $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.3KNo $9—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.5KNo $104—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886Under $81—
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $451Over $230—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $318No $359—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $67Warriors $505—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440Warriors $109—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $40No $182—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $141Over $69—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104Over $18—
Clube do Remo leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $25Yes $2—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $28KSE Palmeiras $14K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $2.4KSE Palmeiras $665—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.0KOver $411—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KOver $826—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $198—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KOver $213—
Panteras de Aguascalientes vs. Soles de Mexicali
same side · consensus Soles de Mexicali
—Soles de Mexicali $608—Soles de Mexicali $192
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $338No $353—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $538Under $35—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $128Under $271—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8Under $323—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138Yes $192—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $34Under $225—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4Under $156—
SE Palmeiras leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $126No $12—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 3 - 2 Clube do Remo?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $63Yes $16—