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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpgoogleplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)50% (58–57, n=115)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$469K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23PM monthly #15PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)78% (344 of 440 open)no open consensus position66% (131 of 200 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +31 pts n=59, ROI +32%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 68 at avg 54¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)0%10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)75% (won 84% of 51)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)9% (won 100% of 6)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

104 on the same side, 61 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpgoogleplayRN1
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $110K—No $66K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10No $37K—No $11K
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $304Yes $27K—No $17K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $14KYes $14K—Yes $10K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $4.2KYes $11K—Yes $5.9K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200KYes $19K—Yes $12K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $165KTaylor Fritz $14K—Taylor Fritz $38K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $89KNo $31K—No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44KNo $44K—No $19K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $34K—No $5.9K
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $42No $17K—No $2.3K
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $71No $6.5K—No $9.1K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $206No $4.6K—No $296
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $48K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $16K—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AC Milan
—AC Milan $4.5K—Ferencvárosi TC $5.9K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.9K—Over $722
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $9.5K—Yes $106
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.5K—Yes $3.3K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7K—Over $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.0K—No $1.4K
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.8K—No $165
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.1K—Over $1.5K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8K—Under $204
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.2K—Yes $1.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.3K—Under $215
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $772—Over $2.0K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.5K—No $312
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Over $82
Will Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.5K—No $162
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Over $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Under $37
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2K—Over $147
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $1.5K——
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $11
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 3 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $45—No $1.4K
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $199—No $1.2K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $44—Under $895
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $929—Yes $8
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $792—Yes $137
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $900—Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880—Over $5